SKEPTICISM RATHER THAN CELEBRATION FOLLOWS WOMEN’S WORLD RECORD IN CHICAGO

The hue and cry about Ruth Chepngetich’s 2:09:56 women’s world marathon record in last Sunday’s Bank of America Chicago Marathon is not toning down. Poor John Korir, his 2:02:44 victory in the men’s race, has been completely overshadowed. But why wouldn’t it be, considering the magnitude of the women’s time?

I received an email from Amby Burfoot, 1968 Boston Marathon champion and ex-Runners World executive editor, asking if I was going to write anything about the Chepngetich record, before realizing, “oh, I see that you have written something supportive. Too bad.”

Amby continued, I’ve just written a screed comparing it to Rosie 1980 (when Ms. Ruiz was initially declared the Boston Marathon champion only to have the title stripped from her one week later when officials definitively proved she did not run the entire distance).” We had no evidence(then),” wrote Amby, “but we knew it was wrong. I’m hoping others will join me.” 

Yes, there are many red flags fluttering after history’s first women’s sub-2:10 marathon. A near five minute personal best at the most elite level is eye-opening. But Bill Rodgers took 10 minutes off his personal best at the 1975 Boston Marathon, going from 2:19 to 2:09.

For starters, Ruth ran personal bests at 5K (15:00), 10K (30:14) and a near-PB half marathon in route to her world record. Her 64:16 at halfway was the fifth fastest half ever run! Her second half of 65:40 was only nine seconds slower than Steve Jones’s second half in Chicago 1985 when he posted his 2:07:13 near world record! Steve’s 1:01:42  first half was the eighth fastest men’s half marathon ever run at the time. 

Also, Ms. Chepngetich’s manager, Federico Rosa, has had many of his athletes found guilty of PED use in the last decade, including multiple Boston and Chicago champion Rita Jeptoo and 2016 Rio Olympic champion, Jemima Sumgong. But in November 2016, a Kenyan court terminated a doping case against the Italian agent, ruling they lacked sufficient evidence to proceed. The fact that major events of the world continue to recruit Rosa athletes makes clear their opinion on the matter.

But let’s explore record comparisons.

Paula Radcliffe‘s other-worldly 2:15:25 in London 2003 only broke her own previous mark from Chicago 2002 by 1:53. Before that, we have to go back to Beth Bonner, breaking her own world record from Philadelphia in May 1971 in New York that fall by 5:50, taking her time down to 2:55:22. Then Cheryl Bridges knocked 5:42 off Beth’s time with her 2:49:40 in Culver City at the Western Hemisphere Marathon in December 1971. (1971 was an active year for women)

The biggest margin since then was when Norway’s Grete Waitz, took her own record in New York City in 1979. There, her 2:27:33 ripped 4:57 off her debut world record from the year before.

Next we go to Joan Benoit’s 2:22:43 in Boston 1983 (when Boston still counted as a record-eligible course). On 2:17 pace through halfway, Benoit reduced Grete’s previous world record from London the day before by 2:46. Tigst Assefa’s 2:11:53 in Berlin 2023 rubbed out Brigid Kosgei’s 2:14:04 from Chicago 2019 by 2:11. And now Ruth Chepngetich has taken Assefa’s time down by 1:57. Those reductions are all of a similar order, nothing unusual. In my previous post, ANOTHER WORLD RECORD FALLS IN CHICAGO, I listed the percentage drops in each of the women’s world records. 

To summarize: Ruth Chepngetich cut 1.5% off Tigst Assefa’s 2:11:53, while Assefa chopped 1.65% from Brigid Kosgei’s 2:14:04.

If you look at the record books, Ruth Chepngetich isn’t some chubby-thigh’d Rosie Ruiz outlier. If anyone is (minus the chubby thighs), it is Paula Radcliffe. Of the top 100 women’s marathon times ever run, only Paula’s 2003 world record from London at 2:15:25 remains in the top 10 from the pre-super shoe era. In fact, Paula has three times in the top 100 beside No. 7’s 2:15. She also has No. 29’s 2:17:18 from Chicago 2002, and No. 39’s 2:17:42 from London 2005. Catherine Ndereba’s  2:18:47 from Chicago 2001, resting at No. 90, remains the only other pre-super shoes performance in the top 100 besides Paula’s three.

Naoko Takahashi’s original 2:19:46 from Berlin 2001, stands at No. 149 on the all-time list today. Every other top 100 time has been run from 2017 on. That’s been the major problem with the super-shoe era. It has pulled us free from our past. You can’t look at today with yesterday’s fact-base. Doesn’t apply anymore. So 2:09 looks crazy. But so did 2:15, 2:14, and 2:11. 

The evidence points conclusively to only one thing shared by the top times, super shoes (besides Paula and Catherine). We can’t say that about drugs, bicarbonate of soda, only super-shoes.

Of course, all this current doubting is a natural reaction to the epidemic of drug positives coming out of Kenya in recent years. Once thought of as an Eden before Adam, where raw talent, poverty, and a high altitude lifestyle led to a pristine oasis producing times unmatched in the rest of the world, Kenya is now viewed just another nation corrupted by the lure of quick riches. 

Besides New York City, Boston, the World Championships, and the Olympics, there are no open competitions without pacers that produce fast times. All the fast times come out of Chicago, Berlin, Valencia, London, Tokyo, Dubai, Nagoya, Amsterdam, and Hamburg. When Chicago experimented with dropping pacers a decade ago, the winning men’s times instantly reverted from 2:04 to 2:09. Officials quickly placed pacers back in the front row.  

In non-paced races, time is not a consideration before the race; it is determined by the race. The race is the focus, while the time is what it took. As an example, look at the Doha World Championships in 2019, where, under stifling heat and humidity, Ruth Chepngetich won the gold medal in 2:32:43. 

There are also some who have a hard time accepting a sub-2:10 by a woman because 2:10 was always a magical number in the marathon world. It’s the time Frank Shorter never broke and Bill Rodgers only did twice. 

There has also been progression since Paula’s 2:15:25 in 2003. Since then, five other women have gone beyond Paula’s once impregnable record. 

I led the cry – DO YOU BELIEVE IN MAGIC? – when Ethiopia’s Almaz Ayana won the Olympic 10,000m final in Rio 2016 in a world record 29:17.45. Since then, four other women have gone faster, and none of them have been caught using drugs.

Paula Ratcliffe, an outspoken anti-drug advocate, was never popped for drugs. Brigid Kosgei, who broke Paula’s record in Chicago 2019, was never popped for drugs. And Tigst Assefa, who ran the 2:11:53 in Berlin last year, remains clear as well. So too, Sifan Hassan, whose exploits in Paris this last summer in the Olympic Games were every bit as astonishing as what Ruth Chepngetich did in Chicago last Sunday.

In this brave (depraved) New World, there is no respect for the marathon distance anymore, especially in the super-shoe era. No one is afraid of the distance. It’s not an endurance event in the same sense we once knew it.  I’ve written about this several times. 

If you’re going to run a specific time, you first have to conceive of the possibility, then prepare for the effort. The pacers have to be set up to go at that speed right from the gun. 

Ruth Chepngetich was not in Chicago to win the race last Sunday. She had already accomplished that twice before (2021 & 2022). In the last two BofA Chicago Marathons, she has taken serious runs at the world record, passing halfway sub-66:00 both times, only to fade to 2:14:18 win in 2022, 14 seconds shy of Brigid Kosgei’s record. Then,  she finished a fast second to Sifan Hassan in 2023, 2:15:37 to 2:13:44.


Chepngetich wasn’t in Chicago last Sunday to break the world record by running a low 2:11, either. Self-coached, training in Ngong outside Nairobi with a male pacer, she trained to break 2:10, because that’s what she told her pacers to run. There had to be an intention.

And if you look at the top 10 times ever produced, only Ruth Chepngetich had two previous marks on the list. No. 4 from Chicago 2022 when she ran 2:14:18 to win. And 2:15:37 in Chicago 2023 that sits at number seven, where she finished in second place. In all, she’s started 14 marathons, finished twelve, won 9.

The late Harvard paleontologist and evolutionary biologist, Stephen Jay Gould, famously proposed the theory of punctuated equilibrium in 1972. This theory of evolutionary biology states that species undergo long periods of stasis, followed by short periods of rapid change. 

Is it beyond belief to suggest that such a punctuated equilibrium exists in the world of sport, as well? 

All of which is not to say that Ruth Chepngetich wasn’t juiced to the gills in Chicago. It’s just to say that, if she was, she must also have some mighty big balls, too, since she had to know this record was going to be scrutinized up one side and down the next. Plus, according to her manager, Ruth switched out her Vaporfly Nikes for the new, more efficient Alphafly model in 2024, and for the first time, consumed Maurten sodium bicarbonate during the competition, which is the new rage in reducing muscle acidity and, therefore, is said to delay muscle fatigue. 

Perhaps it’s a cop-out, but I have adopted the Three Monkeys Rule in relation to the current state of running: hear no evil, see no evil, speak no evil until all the evidence is in. It’s the only way to be fair to the athletes, and manage the current nihilism that reduces everything to doubt or a financial transaction.

I encourage further scrutiny and have inquiries out to Carey Pinkowski, the executive Director of the Bank of America Chicago Marathon, and to Federico Rosa, Ruth Chepngetich’s manager. But skepticism notwithstanding, I close with a quote from Professor Gould: “Nothing is more dangerous than a dogmatic worldview – nothing more constraining, more blinding to innovation, or destructive of openness to novelty.”

And so it goes. Onward, blindly, into the unknown.

END

ADDENDUM: 17 July 2025

Today, marathon world record holder, Ruth Chepngetich, has been provisionally suspended by the Athletics Integrity Unit (AIU) due to a doping violation.

Ms. Chepngetich tested positive for hydrochlorothlazide, (HCTZ), a banned diurectic used as a masking agent to conceal the presence of other prohibited substances.

The sample was collected in an out-of-competition test on 14 March 2025. It revealed a concentration of 3800 ng/ml, far exceeding the WADA reporting threshold of 20 ng/ml.

Chepngetich, who ran 2:09:56 in Chicago in October 2024, to break the existing women’s world record by 1:57, while winning her third Chicago title to go along with the 2019 World Championship Marathon title in Doha 2019, accepted a voluntary provisional suspension on 19 April. AIU has since imposed its own provisional suspension. If found guilty, Chepngetich faces a standard two-year ban, although that can be adjusted on the outcome of her case.

She also has the right to a hearing before a Disciplinary Tribunal. This case has implications for the Kenyan women’s marathon team for this September’s World T & F Championships in Tokyo.

As of 31 December 2024, a report stated 119 Kenyan athletes were on the AIU’s ineligible list. This number was a significant increase from the 54 two years ago. In June 2025, Daniel Kinyanjui was banned for five years. In June 2024, the Anti-Doping Agency of Kenya (ADAK) provisionally suspended 26 athletes, including 10km world record holder Rhonex Kipruto, who received a six-year suspension.

18 thoughts on “SKEPTICISM RATHER THAN CELEBRATION FOLLOWS WOMEN’S WORLD RECORD IN CHICAGO

  1. Stopped reading at paragraph eight. Comparing improvements in world records by absolute times rather than percentages is just flawed.

  2. I agree with everything except this generalization “I also believe that men have a hard time accepting a sub-2:10 because 2:10 was a magical number. It’s the time Frank Shorternever broke and Bill Rodgers only did twice.” The same psychodynamic is behind that statement as is behind their skepticism.

    1. If you read an inch further you’d see them all be converted to percentages, showing relatively normal pattern even for the 2:09 :/

  3. There are opinions and there are also facts. To my knowledge Ruth has never failed a drug test. She may be that once in a generation athlete, and I just watched for the first time the women’s WC marathon, 2019 in Doha. The weather conditions were absolutely brutal. I was there. I had planned to go watch the race at midnight but once I left my hotel I decided I would go back to my hotel as the humidity was off the charts. Ruth won that race in the high humidity and heat, so that told me she is one tough cookie. When I saw Ruth race Chicago just a few days ago she looked fitter than ever so she may have been in the best shape of her life. She looked fit and chiseled.

    No doubt super shoes have played a major role in lowering PRs for distance runners but questions linger by those who follow the sport closely: is Ruth on PEDs? So far, we are told, the answer is no.

    When LetsRun.com asked the question of Ruth about PEDs after Ruth became the first woman to run 26.2 under 2:11 and 2:10 her answer was (at least the way I read it) extremely short and evasive, as though she did not want to address the issue head on. Granted English is not her native language, that may be why her answers were short. Be that as it may, we still continue to read online what a massive doping problem Kenya is having with PEDs. I applaud LetsRun.com for having the courage to ask such a cut-to-the-chase question.

    I want to believe Ruth is clean but there is a part of me that wonders whether her latest Chicago marathon was chemically aided.

    One thing I do know is that in all of sports all the great athletes have never admitted to being on drugs until it is too late. Marion Jones, at first, denied ever having taking PEDs (and we all believed her, hook, line and sinker) until she confessed that she was.

    Daniel Perez, 9X @ Summer Olympic Games as a fan

  4. Toni, Ruth has the most perfect body for running I’ve ever seen, male or female. From the waist down she’s all muscle. Waist up, she carries no weight at all. She’s a Ferrari engine put inside a Smart Car. Her energy efficiency is easy to see if you open your fucking eyes.

    Amby Burfoot is a bitter old man who should just go away. His opinion on Ruth is vulgar. His opinion on changing the Olympic Trials selection process is flat out stupid. His opinions just don’t matter at all.

    We should be celebrating the new worlds record, not denigrating it.

    Ruth is my new hero.

  5. This stuff gets old. Unless she fails a test that is the way it goes.

    Ask Pinkowski since Kenya is rife with drugs why does he invite them?

  6. Just accept the fact that this woman was 😞 and focused. She got what she worked hard for to achieve her goal. Period.

  7. Toni,

    The progression is stunning. My many years of experience with world-class Kenyan athletes temper any skeptical response. Yes, there have been cheaters throughout those decades and the rationale has typically been money, either self-generated or by ruthless agents. Neither is acceptable.

    In recent years I have been in the homes of extraordinary Kenyan athletes and have seen how they live and train. I can only speak for the ones I personally know and Ruth is not one of them, but several have been medalists in the Olympic Games and have set world records. For those I’m fiercely protective as anyone who has friends would be of them.

    Within days, not weeks, and certainly prior to the NYCM, the World Majors and Carey Pinkowski (a guy I’ve known for almost four decades and know as fact cares deeply about the integrity of our sport) should bring forth final clarity, whether it’s a statement about “out of competition” testing or “on-site” testing that Ruth had to endure.

    Emotional critics should hit the pause button until those facts are stated.

    Respectfully,

    Creigh

  8. Ruth should be furious about this. Not at those who doubt this, but at those who created that doubt. All the cheaters who came before, including coaches and agents. And speaking of coaches or others associated with them, wouldn’t it be a good trick for them to subversively dope them so that the runner has full plausible deniability? East Germany anyone? Another recent US coach?

    The usual tell for doping is, “I’ve been having the best workouts of my career, and my recovery is great, so I expected this!” Right. So Ruth should be leading the charge, though again, cultural differences probably preventing this. Regardless, how screwed up is our sport that when an awesome performance happens, our reaction is doubt rather than cheer? The only solution is lifetime ban. But apparently that’s unfeeling of me to say.

    Rico

  9. Toni: Thanks for continuing the conversation. It’s important to go as deep as we can. With regard to those marathon improvements, like Bill’s 10-minute jump, I’m talking about jumps AFTER a senior athlete has reached world class. That usually means that they have run 4-5 marathons. Improvement curves can be fast up to that point. But once you’re there, things turn really, really tough. We appreciated Ruth Chepngetich at 2:14/2:15. At 2:09:56, with no signs that it was coming, you have to shake your head a bit. At least I do. Amby

  10. I’m still a doubter. My mom always told me, “if something seems too good to be true, it probably is.”

  11. Toni, I guess the bottom line is we will have to wait and see, but for now, it was a command performance.

    Although, we are reminded what happened to Faith Chepkoech at B2B this year too.

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